TU Delft: High water in Limburg during the summer 2021 was more drastic than the river floods in 1993 and 1995

Damage larger than for the 1993 and 1995 floods
The measured amounts of precipitation and river discharges have never been so large, particularly during summer. It is estimated that such an event occurs only once every 100 to 1000 years. The peak discharge on the Meuse River near Eijsden and a number of tributaries was the highest discharge ever measured. The estimated total damage due to flooding amounted 350 to 600 million euros and took place to a large extent in the river Geul valley. The damage was therefore greater than during the floods along the Meuse in 1993 and 1995. Professor Bas Jonkman led the research: ‘This flood broke records, in terms of precipitation and damage. We need to learn from this to make our system future-proof.’

Water defences function well
The primary flood defences along the Meuse withstood the exceptionally high loads well. However, incidents such as piping (erosion of the sand under the dike) and local height deficiencies did occur in some places. Temporary measures such as sandbags were therefore used on a large scale. The study also provided insight into the course of the evacuation, pollution and health effects.

Unique event
During the same period, severe flooding caused billions in damage and hundreds of deaths in Germany and Belgium. There, the situation was more catastrophic than in the Netherlands, also because of the greater precipitation amounts and the steeper – faster flowing – rivers.

Initial exploration
This study is an initial exploration. It is clear that this is an extreme and unprecedented event for the Netherlands. The findings of the study can be used for follow-up studies, evaluation of the system and – where necessary – for determining improvement measures at the technical, spatial and organizational levels. Kymo Slager, project lead at Deltares underlines the importance of the analysis: ‘This extreme event and the activities of the consortium have provided us with sharp insights into the information needs of the various organizations playing a role during and after the crisis. This provides direction for the further development of technological tools.’

Parties involved
The study was carried out by a broad consortium: Deltares, Delft University of Technology, HKV consultants, VU University Amsterdam, Utrecht University, KNMI, WUR, Erasmus MC and the University of Twente, commissioned by the Expertise Network for flood protection (ENW) and with the full support of the Limburg Water Board and Rijkswaterstaat.