University of Bristol: One in five will have vaccine resentment over summer holidays

Nearly one in five people who haven’t had a Covid vaccine say they’ll feel resentful towards those who have if they don’t get one in time for their summer holidays, while the proportion of the public who think vaccine passports will infringe civil liberties has increased since March and about half think they’ll be sold on the black market, according to a new study.

The research, by the University of Bristol, King’s College London and the NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Emergency Preparedness and Response, also found that four in ten people think younger age groups will be less likely to get vaccinated when it’s their turn, and that some have confusions about second vaccinations and how the jabs affect fertility.

The findings are based on a survey of 4,896 UK adults aged 18 to 75 conducted between 1 and 16 April 2021.

Vaccination resentment and tension

Eighteen per cent of people who haven’t had a Covid vaccine say they’ll feel resentful towards those who have if they don’t receive one in time for their summer holidays – but a majority (58%) say they will not feel such resentment.

Those from higher-income households are more likely to predict they’ll feel this way: 24 per cent of unvaccinated people from households earning more than £55,0000 a year say they;ll feel resentful if not vaccinated in time for their holidays, compared with 14 per cent of those who earn between £20,000 and £34,999.

Those aged 18 to 44 (20 per cent) who have not yet had the vaccine are twice as likely as those aged 45 and above (eight per cent) to say they’ll be resentful, which is likely to reflect the very different levels of vaccine coverage between the different age groups.

More generally, around one in eight unvaccinated people (12 per cent) also say they currently feel resentful towards those who have had the vaccine. But far more – two-thirds (67 per cent) – do not feel this way.

And 40 per cent of the public think younger people aged 18 to 34 will be less likely to get vaccinated when it’s their turn – almost double the 22 per cent who disagree this will happen. Belief in this varies little by age, but among those aged 18 to 34 themselves, four in ten (41 per cent) think their age group is less likely to get vaccinated.

Vaccination passports

Thirty one per cent of the public now believe vaccination passports will reduce our civil liberties – up from 25 per cent last month.

The belief that vaccination passports will have negative impacts is much more common among people who say they’re unlikely to or definitely won’t accept a coronavirus vaccine. 76 per cent of this group think the passports will infringe on civil liberties, compared with 31 per cent of the public overall who believe this.

There is a similar divide in opinion when it comes to whether the passports will be used by the government for surveillance (63 per cent vs 21 per cent) and whether unvaccinated people will face discrimination (71 per cent vs 40 per cent).

There is also widespread concern about the ability to control forgeries, with 49 per cent of the public overall thinking vaccination passports will be sold on the black market – up from 44 per cent in March.

Vaccine beliefs and uncertainties

The impact on fertility

One in five people (19 per cent) don’t believe that it’s safe to get a Covid vaccine if you’re trying to have a baby – despite the UK’s Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation saying “there have been no specific safety concerns identified with any brand of coronavirus vaccines in relation to pregnancy.”

Those who are vaccine-hesitant (47 per cent) are more than twice as likely as the general public (19 per cent) to believe the vaccines are unsafe if you’re trying to get pregnant.

Similarly, while just seven per cent of people think it’s true that vaccinated people may have greater difficulty having children in future, this rises to 32 per cent among the vaccine-hesitant.

Men (ten per cent) are twice as likely as women (five per cent) to believe the Covid vaccine might negatively impact fertility, while 18- to 34-year-olds are more likely than other age groups to think this claim is true.

Second vaccinations

Seven per cent of the public think it is not worth getting the second coronavirus vaccination as it doesn’t really increase your level of protection.

But this belief is much more common among the vaccine-hesitant (30 per cent), as well as among those who have not taken up their invitation to be vaccinated (30 per cent) and those who will be getting their first vaccine soon (25 per cent).

Men (ten per cent) are around twice as likely as women (four per cent) to be sceptical about the value of getting the second Covid vaccination, while younger age groups are more likely than older ones to hold this view. For example, 15 per cent of 18- to 24-year-olds think there’s little point getting it, compared with eight per cent of 35- to 44-year-olds.

Professor Bobby Duffy, director of the Policy Institute at King’s College London, said: “There is very widespread support for the staged approach to vaccination in the UK, getting to the oldest and most vulnerable first, as demonstrated by the fact that only 12 per cent of the currently unvaccinated say they resent those who have been. This no doubt partly reflects the speed and efficiency of the vaccine rollout overall, as people can have confidence that they’ll get their turn soon.

“However, there are some clear limits to this – with the summer holiday season a key target many have in mind, and a potential test of our collective spirit if some are free to travel while others are not. Public faith in the equity and reliability of any vaccine passport system is going to need to be carefully encouraged, as large minorities are starting from a suspicion about its impact on civil liberties, and half think it could be used fraudulently.”

Dr Siobhan McAndrew, Senior Lecturer in Quantitative Social Science at the University of Bristol, added: “Some members of the public see vaccination as a social duty, while others are more concerned with direct personal benefits. Partly for that reason, there has been great policy interest in whether vaccination passports might encourage vaccine uptake. These findings indicate they may do so, as well as allowing the leisure, hospitality and travel industries to reopen more promptly. But we also have evidence of the challenges that may come with the passports – as significant proportions of the public fear they will be misused, including through curtailing civil liberties.”